Here is the first installment in my season preview series. The Dodgers have gone through a whole lot of changes in the offseason, one of the biggest turnovers between the front office and on the field in their storied history.
Up first is the strength of the club, starting pitching.
2014
1. Clayton Kershaw
2. Zack Greinke
3. Hyun-Jin Ryu
4. Josh Beckett
5. Dan Haren
2015
1. Clayton Kershaw
2. Zack Greinke
3. Hyun-Jin Ryu
4. Brandon McCarthy
5. Brett Anderson
Then Compared to Now:
The top three in the rotation stay the same, and that's a good thing. You won't find many better threesomes at the top of any pitching staff than Kershaw, Greinke, and Ryu. It's a good mix of power and craftiness coming at you from both sides of the pitching rubber.
That leaves the biggest question mark to the final two slots. Last year, Beckett gave the Dodgers many terrific starts to the tune of a 2.88 ERA, including that fantastic no-hitter in Philadelphia. Unfortunately, 20 starts was all he could give, as a hip injury forced him into retirement.
Then there was Haren, who went through the roller coaster of great to start, awful for much of the summer, then reliable again down the stretch. Through it all he had a 4.02 ERA, which was good for a guy at the bottom of the rotation.
Individual Breakdown:
Kershaw (2014 stats): 21-3, 1.77 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 239 K's in 198 1/3 IP
Oh ya, and an MVP and another Cy Young Award, his third overall. You really couldn't ask for much of anything else, as he completely dominated in just about every start. About the only thing that didn't go right was in the playoffs against the Cardinals, as he took two losses and got hammered for a 7.82 ERA. He'll just have to be patient and hope he gets another chance at redemption, as that's the next step in his evolution.
Greinke: 17-8, 2.71 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 207 K's in 202 1/3 IP
After another terrific season from him, the question he'll be facing all season long is if this will be his final year in Dodger blue. He's eligible to opt out of his current six-year deal, which is now entering the third year. Who knows how that will play out, but posting another sub-3.00 ERA and All-Star berth will only increase the odds of him looking for more money. So, in a strange way, the better he does, the more likely he'll be gone. But the Dodgers will gladly take the quality starts, and then worry about the contract situation in October, hopefully after a parade in downtown LA.
Ryu: 14-7, 3.38 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 139 K's in 152 IP
The third part of the Big 3 put up great numbers in his second season, yet it was a bumpier ride thanks to a couple of injuries that limited him to 26 starts. He nearly missed the playoffs because of a sore shoulder, though was able to recover and pitch very well in Game 3 against the Cardinals. He also had a sore butt muscle at one point. Um, I'm guessing that's not much fun. Let's hope those injuries don't pop up again, as he quietly is a really good starter.
McCarthy (with Diamondbacks and Yankees): 10-15, 4.05 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 175 K's in 200 IP
Those numbers don't jump off the page, but his 14 starts after being traded to the Yankees should: 7-5, 2.89 ERA, 1.15 WHIP. I don't think anybody anticipated numbers like that. As a result, the Dodgers gave him a shiny, new four-year, $48 million contract. We know that he's tough, as he's more than bounced back from taking a horrible line drive to the head in 2012 with the A's, then suffered a seizure the following year in what was related to that seizure. We also know that he's had a long history of injuries, only making 30 starts once. The Dodgers believe he'll be good to go every fifth day, as he can be a great addition in the bottom part of the rotation if that's indeed the case.
Anderson (with Rockies): 1-3, 2.91 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 29 K's in 43 1/3 IP
Yup, those numbers are tiny, all because he only made eight starts. In fact, after making 30 starts in his rookie season with the A's in 2009, he's made 19, 13, 6, 5 (16 appearances), and 8 starts since. Last year he dealt with a broken left finger and lower back injury. The Dodgers only signed him for one year, so they're hoping to find that guy who has fantastic stuff when healthy, and not the guy whose name you forget about when he's buried on the DL.
Is Now Better Than Then?
On paper, I would take this year's rotation, mostly because of McCarthy. If he can pitch anywhere close to the guy who went over the AL East last season and dominated, then the Dodgers have a terrific top four. If he reverts back to the guy the DBacks were more than willing to get rid of, then that's a pretty back signing.
Let's not forget about all those great starts Beckett gave before the All-Star break last season, as he was one of the top pitchers in the National League for quite some time. Haren probably won't be missed because of his inconsistency, but when it was all said and done, a 4.02 ERA in 32 starts isn't too shabby.
I also should point out that we all need to temper our expectations for Kershaw, who's set such a high standard for himself, there's not much else he can do. Let's not just assume he can throw up zeroes every start. As we saw in the NLDS against the Cardinals, even the MVP can be human, and shaky starts happen to the best of them.
With all of that said, with some good health, the Dodgers have to like their chances in every game with the guy they send to the hill. You know what you'll get from the top three, but if McCarthy and Anderson can pitch as well as they're capable of, this is a very strong rotation, and an upgrade from last year.
Showing posts with label Beckett. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Beckett. Show all posts
Sunday, February 8, 2015
Tuesday, July 29, 2014
Beckett's start on Tuesday could be a big one
With the Trade Deadline on Thursday and major names like David Price, Cole Hamels, and Jon Lester being linked to the Dodgers, I have to wonder if Josh Beckett is the key in all of this.
Think about it - if Beckett goes out on Tuesday night and lays an egg, are the Dodgers going to be confident that he's healthy and will turn things around? Or will they look at their rotation as only three deep (granted a VERY deep three in Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and Hyun-Jin Ryu) and want to pull the trigger on a blockbuster trade?
I think the timing is perfect for Ned Colletti, as he's probably watching Beckett more closely than ever tonight. Don't forget that Beckett went on the DL around the All-Star break with a sore hip, which at the time was explained as more of a procedural move to get him a little extra rest.
Maybe that's true, but the flip side is that he came back in Pittsburgh on July 22 and was all over the place, giving up four runs, including three homers, in only 3 2/3 innings. Not the most encouraging sign for the homestretch.
I'm not going so far to say that Beckett's start tonight is as cut and dry as if he does bad, they make a trade; if he does well, they don't. Maybe Colletti already has something lined up for a guy like Lester, and Beckett's health is just a bonus. Nobody knows right now, but we all will within the next couple of days.
We all know that the Dodgers are as active as any team every year at the end of July, so it will be very interesting to see what's in store.
Think about it - if Beckett goes out on Tuesday night and lays an egg, are the Dodgers going to be confident that he's healthy and will turn things around? Or will they look at their rotation as only three deep (granted a VERY deep three in Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and Hyun-Jin Ryu) and want to pull the trigger on a blockbuster trade?
I think the timing is perfect for Ned Colletti, as he's probably watching Beckett more closely than ever tonight. Don't forget that Beckett went on the DL around the All-Star break with a sore hip, which at the time was explained as more of a procedural move to get him a little extra rest.
Maybe that's true, but the flip side is that he came back in Pittsburgh on July 22 and was all over the place, giving up four runs, including three homers, in only 3 2/3 innings. Not the most encouraging sign for the homestretch.
I'm not going so far to say that Beckett's start tonight is as cut and dry as if he does bad, they make a trade; if he does well, they don't. Maybe Colletti already has something lined up for a guy like Lester, and Beckett's health is just a bonus. Nobody knows right now, but we all will within the next couple of days.
We all know that the Dodgers are as active as any team every year at the end of July, so it will be very interesting to see what's in store.
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Major rotation question marks with Beckett and Haren
The Dodgers lead the National League with a 3.22 ERA from the starting rotation, second only to the A's 3.18 for tops in baseball. Yet it's the their back end of the rotation that is causing Ned Colletti to ponder his next move.
Josh Beckett wasn't very good in his return from the DL on Tuesday, getting hit around by the Pirates. Despite that, Don Mattingly announced that Beckett will still be kept in the rotation for now, taking Beckett's word for it that he really is OK.
Dan Haren is pitching like he's hurt, as he suffered yet another horrific outing on Wednesday. He gave up four runs in the first to the Pirates as the Dodgers got smacked around 6-1. If Haren was looking to instill some confidence in Mattingly, he certainly did not, as Mattingly refused to say after the game if he'd even make his next start.
Haren entered July with a 3.57 ERA and an 8-4 record. Well, he's now at 8-8, and here's how his ERA has shot up by the game: 4.06, 4.23, 4.30, and 4.49. Basically, he's not coming anywhere close to hitting his spots, and hitters are just sitting back and waiting for some fat pitches over the middle. Haren, the great guy that he is, has more than obliged.
Today (Thursday) is an off day, then the Dodgers go to San Francisco for three. After another off day the following Monday, they'll then play 20 consecutive days against the Braves, Cubs, Angels, Brewers, Braves again, and Brewers again. Take away the Cubs, and there's not a break in that stretch. They'll have to bring their "A" game just to survive.
One week from today is the official trade deadline, and you can bet Colletti is looking at his options. The big dog remains David Price, but it will literally take a huge price just to get him. Last year they brought in Ricky Nolasco and Edinson Volquez when they faced similar issues on the back end of the rotation, so a lesser-known player like those two could be the target.
You know what you're going to get from Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and Hyun-Jin Ryu, and that's a whole lot of innings with zero scoring. At this point, what can they expect from a banged up Beckett and ineffective Haren? That's the scary part.
I believe that Beckett's health will be the key in all of this. His recent history is loaded with one injury after another, but when he's been healthy, he's been really good. If he can get back into a groove and avoid anymore DL stints, then the rotation is legit four-deep in arms. If not, then it accelerates the team's need for another starter.
Haren's days of starting, regardless of what Beckett does, appear to be numbered, and rightfully so. He's just been awful, plain and simple. There's no doubt he'll be the odd man out if another starter is brought in.
Josh Beckett wasn't very good in his return from the DL on Tuesday, getting hit around by the Pirates. Despite that, Don Mattingly announced that Beckett will still be kept in the rotation for now, taking Beckett's word for it that he really is OK.
Dan Haren is pitching like he's hurt, as he suffered yet another horrific outing on Wednesday. He gave up four runs in the first to the Pirates as the Dodgers got smacked around 6-1. If Haren was looking to instill some confidence in Mattingly, he certainly did not, as Mattingly refused to say after the game if he'd even make his next start.
Haren entered July with a 3.57 ERA and an 8-4 record. Well, he's now at 8-8, and here's how his ERA has shot up by the game: 4.06, 4.23, 4.30, and 4.49. Basically, he's not coming anywhere close to hitting his spots, and hitters are just sitting back and waiting for some fat pitches over the middle. Haren, the great guy that he is, has more than obliged.
Today (Thursday) is an off day, then the Dodgers go to San Francisco for three. After another off day the following Monday, they'll then play 20 consecutive days against the Braves, Cubs, Angels, Brewers, Braves again, and Brewers again. Take away the Cubs, and there's not a break in that stretch. They'll have to bring their "A" game just to survive.
One week from today is the official trade deadline, and you can bet Colletti is looking at his options. The big dog remains David Price, but it will literally take a huge price just to get him. Last year they brought in Ricky Nolasco and Edinson Volquez when they faced similar issues on the back end of the rotation, so a lesser-known player like those two could be the target.
You know what you're going to get from Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and Hyun-Jin Ryu, and that's a whole lot of innings with zero scoring. At this point, what can they expect from a banged up Beckett and ineffective Haren? That's the scary part.
I believe that Beckett's health will be the key in all of this. His recent history is loaded with one injury after another, but when he's been healthy, he's been really good. If he can get back into a groove and avoid anymore DL stints, then the rotation is legit four-deep in arms. If not, then it accelerates the team's need for another starter.
Haren's days of starting, regardless of what Beckett does, appear to be numbered, and rightfully so. He's just been awful, plain and simple. There's no doubt he'll be the odd man out if another starter is brought in.
Tuesday, July 8, 2014
Needing some rest, Beckett goes to the DL
If you saw Josh Beckett run the bases on Sunday afternoon in Colorado... well then I'm sorry. That was hard to watch.
But not quite as painful as it was for Beckett himself.
A sore hip was only made worse on a hard slide into third, and as a result, the Dodgers have placed Beckett on the 15-day DL. In his place, reliever Pedro Baez has been recalled.
As Mark Saxon pointed out on Twitter, this might only cost him one start because of the All-Star break. Since this isn't considered serious at all, I wouldn't expect him to miss more than the mandatory 15 days.
Of course, there's always the worry that an aging pitcher who's already had his fair share of injuries might be going through a tough stretch again. From all I've read, I get the feeling that this is more of a timing thing with the All-Star Game coming up, so it's a good chance to sneak in a few extra days of rest. It makes sense.
One thing his DL trip does take care of is any thought of adding him to the NL squad. I was pretty disappointed that he was not only not picked, but that there hasn't been a whole lot of talk of adding him. Considering he has the third best ERA in the NL, along with pitching a no-hitter in hitter friendly Philadelphia, it sure looked to me like he was robbed.
Robbed or not, the important thing is for him to get some time to rest his hip, then be ready for the stretch run. In the end, missing the All-Star Game will probably be a blessing.
But not quite as painful as it was for Beckett himself.
A sore hip was only made worse on a hard slide into third, and as a result, the Dodgers have placed Beckett on the 15-day DL. In his place, reliever Pedro Baez has been recalled.
As Mark Saxon pointed out on Twitter, this might only cost him one start because of the All-Star break. Since this isn't considered serious at all, I wouldn't expect him to miss more than the mandatory 15 days.
Of course, there's always the worry that an aging pitcher who's already had his fair share of injuries might be going through a tough stretch again. From all I've read, I get the feeling that this is more of a timing thing with the All-Star Game coming up, so it's a good chance to sneak in a few extra days of rest. It makes sense.
One thing his DL trip does take care of is any thought of adding him to the NL squad. I was pretty disappointed that he was not only not picked, but that there hasn't been a whole lot of talk of adding him. Considering he has the third best ERA in the NL, along with pitching a no-hitter in hitter friendly Philadelphia, it sure looked to me like he was robbed.
Robbed or not, the important thing is for him to get some time to rest his hip, then be ready for the stretch run. In the end, missing the All-Star Game will probably be a blessing.
Monday, June 23, 2014
Updated look at possible All-Stars
About a month ago I blogged about potential All-Star selections for the Dodgers. With a little over three weeks to go until the game, here's my updated look at who I think has a chance to represent the Dodgers:
Definitely
Yasiel Puig, OF. He's currently leading the National League in outfield voting, and rightfully so. A rough stretch in June has dipped his average to .317, but there's no denying he's the complete package this season and deserves to start. I just hope he doesn't tear some arm ligaments trying to make some crazy throw.
Clayton Kershaw, SP. The last time I discussed this subject, he was just coming back from his shoulder injury. Then he reminded everyone just how good he is with a no-hitter against the Rockies in one of the most dominating pitching performances ever. Currently at 7-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, he's earned his way back in.
Dee Gordon, 2B. While he's slipped to third in NL voting, he should be a backup to Chase Utley at second. He's still tops in baseball with 39 steals, besting Billy Hamilton by 8. And if you're beating Hamilton in that category, you must be doing something right. His defense has been much-improved of late as well, so he'll be fine.
Josh Beckett, SP. As if throwing a no-hitter against the Phillies wasn't convincing enough, then the fact that he's only getting better as the season wears on should be. His 5-4 record doesn't come close to telling an accurate story of how good he's been. Being third in the NL with a 2.28 ERA does, and his 1.02 WHIP is fourth.
Possibly
Zack Greinke, SP. I bumped him down a notch from last time for a couple of reasons. One, he's been a little bit off in June with a 3.60 ERA in four starts. Two, he's more victimized by Kershaw and Beckett, who've been better. There's nothing against the rules of having three starting pitchers from the same team, and it can definitely happen here. I think he will get in, as he's 9-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Those are All-Star numbers when it's all said and done.
Kenley Jansen, RP. The good news is that he's tied for second in the NL with 22 saves, three behind Francisco Rodriguez for the lead. The bad news is that he's done that with a 4.26 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, hardly All-Star numbers. And as you saw on Friday night against the lowly Padres, he gets hit around too much. What could convince those making the choices are his saves and his NL-leading 53 strikeouts among relievers. This one could go either way.
J.P. Howell, RP. Since the All-Star "counts" now, I'll throw his name out there as a situational lefty. He's tied for third in the NL with 17 holds, and owns a 1.61 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. It's not uncommon anymore for middle relievers to get some All-Star love, just like Hong-Chih Kuo did back in 2010. The only roadblock is Tony Watson of the Pirates has better numbers and is also a lefty, so we'll see what happens.
Hyun-Jin Ryu, SP. A pure darkhorse candidate at this point since the NL is loaded with quality starting pitching. He is 9-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, so if some pitchers are hurt or ineligible because of not enough rest, Ryu's name could be floated out there as a replacement.
Names Added: Howell, Ryu
Names Bumped: Adrian Gonzalez, Juan Uribe
Definitely
Yasiel Puig, OF. He's currently leading the National League in outfield voting, and rightfully so. A rough stretch in June has dipped his average to .317, but there's no denying he's the complete package this season and deserves to start. I just hope he doesn't tear some arm ligaments trying to make some crazy throw.
Clayton Kershaw, SP. The last time I discussed this subject, he was just coming back from his shoulder injury. Then he reminded everyone just how good he is with a no-hitter against the Rockies in one of the most dominating pitching performances ever. Currently at 7-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, he's earned his way back in.
Dee Gordon, 2B. While he's slipped to third in NL voting, he should be a backup to Chase Utley at second. He's still tops in baseball with 39 steals, besting Billy Hamilton by 8. And if you're beating Hamilton in that category, you must be doing something right. His defense has been much-improved of late as well, so he'll be fine.
Josh Beckett, SP. As if throwing a no-hitter against the Phillies wasn't convincing enough, then the fact that he's only getting better as the season wears on should be. His 5-4 record doesn't come close to telling an accurate story of how good he's been. Being third in the NL with a 2.28 ERA does, and his 1.02 WHIP is fourth.
Possibly
Zack Greinke, SP. I bumped him down a notch from last time for a couple of reasons. One, he's been a little bit off in June with a 3.60 ERA in four starts. Two, he's more victimized by Kershaw and Beckett, who've been better. There's nothing against the rules of having three starting pitchers from the same team, and it can definitely happen here. I think he will get in, as he's 9-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Those are All-Star numbers when it's all said and done.
Kenley Jansen, RP. The good news is that he's tied for second in the NL with 22 saves, three behind Francisco Rodriguez for the lead. The bad news is that he's done that with a 4.26 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, hardly All-Star numbers. And as you saw on Friday night against the lowly Padres, he gets hit around too much. What could convince those making the choices are his saves and his NL-leading 53 strikeouts among relievers. This one could go either way.
J.P. Howell, RP. Since the All-Star "counts" now, I'll throw his name out there as a situational lefty. He's tied for third in the NL with 17 holds, and owns a 1.61 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. It's not uncommon anymore for middle relievers to get some All-Star love, just like Hong-Chih Kuo did back in 2010. The only roadblock is Tony Watson of the Pirates has better numbers and is also a lefty, so we'll see what happens.
Hyun-Jin Ryu, SP. A pure darkhorse candidate at this point since the NL is loaded with quality starting pitching. He is 9-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, so if some pitchers are hurt or ineligible because of not enough rest, Ryu's name could be floated out there as a replacement.
Names Added: Howell, Ryu
Names Bumped: Adrian Gonzalez, Juan Uribe
Saturday, June 7, 2014
Taking a look at the starting 5
As Zack Greinke gets ready to take on the evils of Coors Field looking for his NL-leading ninth win, a place where Hyun-Jin Ryu conquered last night in a 6-2 victory, let's take a look at how the rotation as a whole has been performing. It's not often I get to say everyone's healthy, so let's hope it lasts longer than like a week or two.
Clayton Kershaw: 4-2, 43 1/3 IP, 3.32 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 55 K, 7 BB
Keep in mind the reigning Cy Young Award winner was on the shelf for six weeks with a back injury, so his innings will obviously be down. Also keep in mind that he's built such a high standard for himself, anytime he gets even somewhat touched up, it's a surprise.
With all of that said, he's still trying to find his groove after making only seven starts. Last year through seven starts he had a 1.66 ERA, and in 2012 it was 2.56. The major difference is that an injury this year completely disrupted his rhythm. He did pitch eight innings of two-run ball his last start, and if his curveball can be thrown with more snap, and he locates his fastball better, he'll be back to dominant. If there's anyone you can trust to figure things out, it's Clayton Kershaw.
Zack Greinke: 8-2, 72 IP, 2.50 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 83 K, 16 BB
The guy who stepped up in Kershaw's absence was undoubtedly Greinke, although that's no surprise at all. He's a #1 on just about every other staff in baseball. He recently snapped his 20+ straight start streak of two or less earned runs, and has actually given up seven runs in his last two starts.
Still, if that's the worst thing that's happened, then it's hard to be picky about his results. To go that many starts in a row without giving up even three runs is just amazing. It was also very quietly done, as the Dodgers get headlines for all sorts of other reasons, good and bad. If there's one area he can make a slight improvement in, it's that his K/BB ratio in his last six starts (37/10) has been a little worse than his first six starts (46/6). Yes, it's hardly worth mentioning, but when this guy's control is on, 99% of the time he gets a win.
Hyun-Jin Ryu: 7-2, 64 1/3 IP, 3.08 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 53 K, 14 BB
Another guy who spent some time on the DL was Ryu, as he was gone for nearly a month with shoulder inflammation. He actually has some pretty crazy splits, as he has a 6.15 ERA at home, but a minuscule 0.95 ERA on the road. If the Dodgers get back into the postseason, you can bet Don Mattingly won't be afraid to have him pitch on the road.
His numbers are nearly identical to last year's, with slightly better K/BB ration, but a few more hits allowed as well. However, you know his home ERA will only get better, so it's hard to find a better #3 starter in baseball. Last year his home ERA was 2.32, so get ready to see more great starts out of him in the middle of the rotation.
Josh Beckett: 3-3, 66 2/3 IP, 2.57 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 63 K, 23 BB
You already know how great of a season Beckett's been having based on his no-hitter on the Sunday before Memorial Day in Philly. Who in the world would've ever guessed he'd be the one to throw the season's first (and so far, only) no-hitter? I doubt he even would've thought that.
There's no denying just how big of a season he's been having. He's eighth in the NL in ERA. Of his 11 starts, only three times has he given up more than two runs. Oh ya, did I mention he no-hit the Phillies? All of this has resulted in a more crafty, intelligent pitcher who's using his changing speeds and control to get the job done. I would expect his ERA to be somewhere in the 3s when it's all said and done, but even if it does, that means he's still having a great season.
Dan Haren: 5-4, 74 2/3 IP, 3.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 52 K, 12 BB
On the surface, the #5 starter with a 3.50 ERA is something any manager would gladly take. He came out of five April starts at 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA. Plus, he only got better down the stretch in Washington last year, so things were definitely looking up.
Well, life hasn't been so good since then. He certainly hasn't been getting bombed, as the most runs he's given up has been four on two different occasions. The biggest problem has been the long ball, as he's surrendered seven in his last four starts. I don't think anyone expected him to pitch like a Cy Young contender, but with his ERA going up in six of his last seven starts, there's definite concern about how he'll hold up over the summer. Chad Billingsley could be right around the corner ready to take his spot. We shall see.
Overall Impressions:
I don't care how poorly the offense has performed, anytime you see the names Kershaw, Greinke, and Ryu at the top of the rotation, you like your chances to win. The encouraging thing is that Kershaw and Ryu are only getting stronger the more starts they get after injuries, and Greinke looks like an ace 9 times out of 10.
As I mentioned before, I think it will be real interesting to see where Billingsley fits into all of this once he's declared good to go. He has stated his desire to be a starter, and who can blame him? Save for a few bullpen appearances when he was younger, he's been starting games his whole big league career. Right now it looks like Haren is the one would should be most nervous since his numbers have gotten a little worse and worse. Do the Dodgers put both Haren and Paul Maholm in the bullpen as long relievers and see what they have in Billingsley starting games? It doesn't make a whole lot of sense to have three long relievers (Jamey Wright is the other one), so something has to give.
We'll wait and see how that all plays out. In the meantime, if the Dodgers can ever get guys like Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp on track, then this rotation will rack up more wins as the summer months heat up.
Clayton Kershaw: 4-2, 43 1/3 IP, 3.32 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 55 K, 7 BB
Keep in mind the reigning Cy Young Award winner was on the shelf for six weeks with a back injury, so his innings will obviously be down. Also keep in mind that he's built such a high standard for himself, anytime he gets even somewhat touched up, it's a surprise.
With all of that said, he's still trying to find his groove after making only seven starts. Last year through seven starts he had a 1.66 ERA, and in 2012 it was 2.56. The major difference is that an injury this year completely disrupted his rhythm. He did pitch eight innings of two-run ball his last start, and if his curveball can be thrown with more snap, and he locates his fastball better, he'll be back to dominant. If there's anyone you can trust to figure things out, it's Clayton Kershaw.
Zack Greinke: 8-2, 72 IP, 2.50 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 83 K, 16 BB
The guy who stepped up in Kershaw's absence was undoubtedly Greinke, although that's no surprise at all. He's a #1 on just about every other staff in baseball. He recently snapped his 20+ straight start streak of two or less earned runs, and has actually given up seven runs in his last two starts.
Still, if that's the worst thing that's happened, then it's hard to be picky about his results. To go that many starts in a row without giving up even three runs is just amazing. It was also very quietly done, as the Dodgers get headlines for all sorts of other reasons, good and bad. If there's one area he can make a slight improvement in, it's that his K/BB ratio in his last six starts (37/10) has been a little worse than his first six starts (46/6). Yes, it's hardly worth mentioning, but when this guy's control is on, 99% of the time he gets a win.
Hyun-Jin Ryu: 7-2, 64 1/3 IP, 3.08 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 53 K, 14 BB
Another guy who spent some time on the DL was Ryu, as he was gone for nearly a month with shoulder inflammation. He actually has some pretty crazy splits, as he has a 6.15 ERA at home, but a minuscule 0.95 ERA on the road. If the Dodgers get back into the postseason, you can bet Don Mattingly won't be afraid to have him pitch on the road.
His numbers are nearly identical to last year's, with slightly better K/BB ration, but a few more hits allowed as well. However, you know his home ERA will only get better, so it's hard to find a better #3 starter in baseball. Last year his home ERA was 2.32, so get ready to see more great starts out of him in the middle of the rotation.
Josh Beckett: 3-3, 66 2/3 IP, 2.57 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 63 K, 23 BB
You already know how great of a season Beckett's been having based on his no-hitter on the Sunday before Memorial Day in Philly. Who in the world would've ever guessed he'd be the one to throw the season's first (and so far, only) no-hitter? I doubt he even would've thought that.
There's no denying just how big of a season he's been having. He's eighth in the NL in ERA. Of his 11 starts, only three times has he given up more than two runs. Oh ya, did I mention he no-hit the Phillies? All of this has resulted in a more crafty, intelligent pitcher who's using his changing speeds and control to get the job done. I would expect his ERA to be somewhere in the 3s when it's all said and done, but even if it does, that means he's still having a great season.
Dan Haren: 5-4, 74 2/3 IP, 3.50 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 52 K, 12 BB
On the surface, the #5 starter with a 3.50 ERA is something any manager would gladly take. He came out of five April starts at 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA. Plus, he only got better down the stretch in Washington last year, so things were definitely looking up.
Well, life hasn't been so good since then. He certainly hasn't been getting bombed, as the most runs he's given up has been four on two different occasions. The biggest problem has been the long ball, as he's surrendered seven in his last four starts. I don't think anyone expected him to pitch like a Cy Young contender, but with his ERA going up in six of his last seven starts, there's definite concern about how he'll hold up over the summer. Chad Billingsley could be right around the corner ready to take his spot. We shall see.
Overall Impressions:
I don't care how poorly the offense has performed, anytime you see the names Kershaw, Greinke, and Ryu at the top of the rotation, you like your chances to win. The encouraging thing is that Kershaw and Ryu are only getting stronger the more starts they get after injuries, and Greinke looks like an ace 9 times out of 10.
As I mentioned before, I think it will be real interesting to see where Billingsley fits into all of this once he's declared good to go. He has stated his desire to be a starter, and who can blame him? Save for a few bullpen appearances when he was younger, he's been starting games his whole big league career. Right now it looks like Haren is the one would should be most nervous since his numbers have gotten a little worse and worse. Do the Dodgers put both Haren and Paul Maholm in the bullpen as long relievers and see what they have in Billingsley starting games? It doesn't make a whole lot of sense to have three long relievers (Jamey Wright is the other one), so something has to give.
We'll wait and see how that all plays out. In the meantime, if the Dodgers can ever get guys like Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp on track, then this rotation will rack up more wins as the summer months heat up.
Sunday, May 25, 2014
A look at possible All-Star candidates
The All-Star Game is less than two months away on July 14 in Minnesota. Let's take a look at possible candidates that could be representing the Dodgers. I'll break it down by Definitely and Possibly.
Definitely:
Yasiel Puig, OF. He's second in the NL in the average (.349), slugging % (.623), OPS (1.061), and RBIs (38). Toss in 12 doubles, 10 homers, and 5 steals, and you see just what kind of an impact he has at the plate. Oh ya, he can throw, too. He should easily be voted in as a starting outfielder.
Dee Gordon, 2B. Who would've thought this before the season? Not me, but I'm happy to say that he absolutely deserves to go. He's leading the league in stolen bases with 30, 12 ahead of the guy who got all the hype coming into the season, Billy Hamilton. He's also 10th in runs, but that's mostly because the guys behind him haven't hit well. I'm not saying he should start over Chase Utley, but he should be picked over Daniel Murphy.
Zack Greinke, SP. National League pitching is so deep, his 2.01 ERA is actually fifth best. But, he does lead with seven wins, and is seventh with 65 K's. He clearly took over as the team's ace when Clayton Kershaw was shelved for 1 1/2 months. If he keeps doing what he's doing, he's a lock.
Possibly:
Josh Beckett, SP. In case you didn't hear, he threw a no-hitter against the Phillies on Sunday. Right now he is 10th in the NL in ERA (2.43) and 9th in WHIP (1.02). What a turnaround he's had after nearly ending his career a year ago with a nerve issue. The only reason I'm saying this isn't a definite is because the NL is so deep in pitching, as I said before. But, let's also remember how many All-Stars end up being picked thanks to the off days around the time of the game. I think he'll get in.
Clayton Kershaw, SP. Normally this would be a no-brainer, but again, keep in mind he missed a big chunk of time. He's only made five starts, and did have that clunker against the Diamondbacks recently. Take that away, and he absolutely is the stud pitcher we're used to. A handful of good starts should get him that extra push to get in.
Adrian Gonzalez, 1B. The good news is that he leads all NL first basemen with 10 homers and 36 RBIs. The bad news is that a horrible May in which he's hitting .209 has really caused his production to level off. At the end of April he was hitting .317, and now it's .277. If he keeps the power numbers up, he should get some love. But, I get the feeling it won't be enough.
Kenley Jansen, RP. A 4.15 ERA and 1.43 WHIP are way too high, but his 14 saves are tied for fourth. What's working for him is that he's only three away from first, so if the Dodgers get hot and he can close out a bunch of games coming up, then he should get a strong push to get in.
Juan Uribe, 3B. It's probably a stretch, especially since he's currently on the 15-day DL with a bad hamstring. The only reason I'll throw him out as a possibility is because the third basemen in the NL are average at best. David Wright is leading with a .311 average, but only three homers. Nolan Arenado is very talented, but just broke a finger and could be out awhile. Todd Frazier has good power numbers with 9 homers and 27 RBIs. If Uribe can come back healthy, hit some more, and show his usual good glovework, then he's someone to keep an eye on.
Definitely:
Yasiel Puig, OF. He's second in the NL in the average (.349), slugging % (.623), OPS (1.061), and RBIs (38). Toss in 12 doubles, 10 homers, and 5 steals, and you see just what kind of an impact he has at the plate. Oh ya, he can throw, too. He should easily be voted in as a starting outfielder.
Dee Gordon, 2B. Who would've thought this before the season? Not me, but I'm happy to say that he absolutely deserves to go. He's leading the league in stolen bases with 30, 12 ahead of the guy who got all the hype coming into the season, Billy Hamilton. He's also 10th in runs, but that's mostly because the guys behind him haven't hit well. I'm not saying he should start over Chase Utley, but he should be picked over Daniel Murphy.
Zack Greinke, SP. National League pitching is so deep, his 2.01 ERA is actually fifth best. But, he does lead with seven wins, and is seventh with 65 K's. He clearly took over as the team's ace when Clayton Kershaw was shelved for 1 1/2 months. If he keeps doing what he's doing, he's a lock.
Possibly:
Josh Beckett, SP. In case you didn't hear, he threw a no-hitter against the Phillies on Sunday. Right now he is 10th in the NL in ERA (2.43) and 9th in WHIP (1.02). What a turnaround he's had after nearly ending his career a year ago with a nerve issue. The only reason I'm saying this isn't a definite is because the NL is so deep in pitching, as I said before. But, let's also remember how many All-Stars end up being picked thanks to the off days around the time of the game. I think he'll get in.
Clayton Kershaw, SP. Normally this would be a no-brainer, but again, keep in mind he missed a big chunk of time. He's only made five starts, and did have that clunker against the Diamondbacks recently. Take that away, and he absolutely is the stud pitcher we're used to. A handful of good starts should get him that extra push to get in.
Adrian Gonzalez, 1B. The good news is that he leads all NL first basemen with 10 homers and 36 RBIs. The bad news is that a horrible May in which he's hitting .209 has really caused his production to level off. At the end of April he was hitting .317, and now it's .277. If he keeps the power numbers up, he should get some love. But, I get the feeling it won't be enough.
Kenley Jansen, RP. A 4.15 ERA and 1.43 WHIP are way too high, but his 14 saves are tied for fourth. What's working for him is that he's only three away from first, so if the Dodgers get hot and he can close out a bunch of games coming up, then he should get a strong push to get in.
Juan Uribe, 3B. It's probably a stretch, especially since he's currently on the 15-day DL with a bad hamstring. The only reason I'll throw him out as a possibility is because the third basemen in the NL are average at best. David Wright is leading with a .311 average, but only three homers. Nolan Arenado is very talented, but just broke a finger and could be out awhile. Todd Frazier has good power numbers with 9 homers and 27 RBIs. If Uribe can come back healthy, hit some more, and show his usual good glovework, then he's someone to keep an eye on.
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
Josh Beckett is off the schneid!
Congratulations goes out to Josh Beckett, who finally, MERCIFULLY got a win on Tuesday night by beating the Marlins 7-1. Just how long has it been since he has done the unthinkable? September 30, 2012. That's 14 starts ago.
But don't worry, it's hardly been his fault. Not this season at least.
The 2014 version of Beckett is a heck of a lot better than 2013. In eight starts last year, he was 0-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Quite simply, he was horrible, and was shelved in July for the rest of the season to rest his right arm, which had a tingling sensation in his fingers.
And guess what? It worked. This year he's 1-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He came into this year with zero expectations, and was probably looking to be the odd man out when Chad Billingsley returned from his injury. Well, these are the Dodgers, so inevitably there were more injuries to the starting rotation. But not to Beckett, who's been fantastic in his seven starts.
So what's the reason for his effectiveness? The curveball. That's according to Beckett himself, who gave full credit to an injured A.J. Ellis:
"I've always had a good curveball, but never a good feel for it, never for strike one. But I threw it tonight [eight times on first pitch]. Guys don't hit it, maybe because it's dying anyway, nobody throws it, and hitters don't see them often. And A.J. said a 70-mph curve makes that 90-93-mph fastball look faster."Bingo.
Even though it's only the difference of throwing one pitch more (curveball) and one pitch less (fastball), it's a pretty big change for Beckett. It's almost like he had to stubbornly admit that he can't just blow it by everyone anymore. He has to pick his spots and rely on the art of pitching. Maybe he should pull Kenley Jansen aside and explain the same thing.
Even with the resurgence this season, it's hard to expect his ERA to remain in the low-mid 2's. That's just very hard to do for anyone. Still, his ERA can shoot up a full run and he'd still be having a great season. That's how great he's been so far.
With Clayton Kershaw back and looking like his normal self, and with Hyun-Jin Ryu throwing bullpen sessions and on the verge of being back, the Dodgers may finally be able to ride a deep starting five with Zack Greinke, Dan Haren, and Beckett. They already are third in baseball in starter's ERA at 2.94, and that's with a bunch of injuries. It's not out of the question at all to see that number get even better when Ryu is back.
The Dodgers certainly can use a run or two of big wins, as they've been stuck in .500 mode for too long. Two straight wins and 13 runs, even against the lowly Marlins, have put them in position for a sweep on Wednesday night. It's the little things that add up, and this would be a good spot to start.
Saturday, April 26, 2014
Beckett burned by his offense again
Josh Beckett can be equally encouraged by his pitching as he is frustrated by his offense. After pitching eight innings of two-run ball and coming away with his fourth no-decision, he probably wonders if he'll ever get that elusive first win.
The wait continues for Beckett, as he exited with the scored tied at two. He has not won a game since September 30, 2012. That's right, 2012, meaning two seasons ago. The good news is that take away a couple of solo homers on pitches up in the zone, and he was flawless on Friday. He threw 99 pitches and struck out six to lower is ERA from 2.57 to 2.45. Good for him.
By the way, did the Dodgers win? Nope. The offense blew too many chances again, and a three-run 11th inning was just enough for the Rockies to win 5-4. A two-run homer by Adrian Gonzalez in the 11th was too little, too late.
A week ago on Saturday, the Dodgers put up eight runs in beating the Diamondbacks 8-6. Ever since then, they've gone 2-4 with a total of 15 runs scored. Some quick math tells me that's 2.5 runs per game. It's not too surprising they haven't won much since last weekend.
Right now, the Dodgers can be summed up like this: fantastic starting pitching, an offense that can't get a big lead, a bullpen that can't put up a bunch of blanks when needed, and a defense that is below average. That's why they're slowly approaching the .500 mark at 13-11.
In looking at team numbers, they're hitting .241, and .236 with runners in scoring position. Those are both below the National League average, which isn't surprising. They've also struck out the fifth most times in baseball at 215, obviously way too much. There's a lot of whiffs going on from both sides, as their pitching staff is second in baseball at 222.
Sum it all up, and the Dodgers have got to wake up at the plate. Every night it seems like they're scratching and clawing to get the win, which takes its toll on everyone. Without big numbers from guys like Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp, the offense is pretty stale. We can only hope those guys are healthy like they say, so we'll see if they start to mash.
Other thoughts from the game:
* Yasiel Puig hit in the #2 spot, which I love, and responded with a solo homer and RBI single. He did have a chance to win it in the 10th with Andre Ethier on second, but grounded out. Still, his swing looked good.
* Kemp got tossed by good old Angel Hernandez in the ninth on a bad strike three call. Kemp was right in arguing, and I actually didn't mind at all him get ejected. He needs more fire in his game, as his .200 average is stinking up the lineup right now.
* Like I said above, the bullpen isn't going to put up zero after zero right now. That's not necessarily a criticism, as it's not their fault the offense can't score runs. Still, the two guys who gave up three runs in the 11th, Jamey Wright and J.P. Howell, were ones who had good numbers coming in. Didn't go their way in this one.
* Carl Crawford got bumped down to sixth in the order, and it didn't matter. He went 0-for-4, and the ball has no life off of his bat. It's either a lazy fly ball, or a ground out to second. Stop playing him so much!
* Hang in there, Mr. Beckett. Better days are ahead. It's great to see him pitching deep and effectively.
As Clayton Kershaw nears his return following a successful rehab start, Paul Maholm gets another chance to show what he has with his fourth start. The Phillies had their way against him last start, so let's see how he adjusts.
The wait continues for Beckett, as he exited with the scored tied at two. He has not won a game since September 30, 2012. That's right, 2012, meaning two seasons ago. The good news is that take away a couple of solo homers on pitches up in the zone, and he was flawless on Friday. He threw 99 pitches and struck out six to lower is ERA from 2.57 to 2.45. Good for him.
By the way, did the Dodgers win? Nope. The offense blew too many chances again, and a three-run 11th inning was just enough for the Rockies to win 5-4. A two-run homer by Adrian Gonzalez in the 11th was too little, too late.
A week ago on Saturday, the Dodgers put up eight runs in beating the Diamondbacks 8-6. Ever since then, they've gone 2-4 with a total of 15 runs scored. Some quick math tells me that's 2.5 runs per game. It's not too surprising they haven't won much since last weekend.
Right now, the Dodgers can be summed up like this: fantastic starting pitching, an offense that can't get a big lead, a bullpen that can't put up a bunch of blanks when needed, and a defense that is below average. That's why they're slowly approaching the .500 mark at 13-11.
In looking at team numbers, they're hitting .241, and .236 with runners in scoring position. Those are both below the National League average, which isn't surprising. They've also struck out the fifth most times in baseball at 215, obviously way too much. There's a lot of whiffs going on from both sides, as their pitching staff is second in baseball at 222.
Sum it all up, and the Dodgers have got to wake up at the plate. Every night it seems like they're scratching and clawing to get the win, which takes its toll on everyone. Without big numbers from guys like Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp, the offense is pretty stale. We can only hope those guys are healthy like they say, so we'll see if they start to mash.
Other thoughts from the game:
* Yasiel Puig hit in the #2 spot, which I love, and responded with a solo homer and RBI single. He did have a chance to win it in the 10th with Andre Ethier on second, but grounded out. Still, his swing looked good.
* Kemp got tossed by good old Angel Hernandez in the ninth on a bad strike three call. Kemp was right in arguing, and I actually didn't mind at all him get ejected. He needs more fire in his game, as his .200 average is stinking up the lineup right now.
* Like I said above, the bullpen isn't going to put up zero after zero right now. That's not necessarily a criticism, as it's not their fault the offense can't score runs. Still, the two guys who gave up three runs in the 11th, Jamey Wright and J.P. Howell, were ones who had good numbers coming in. Didn't go their way in this one.
* Carl Crawford got bumped down to sixth in the order, and it didn't matter. He went 0-for-4, and the ball has no life off of his bat. It's either a lazy fly ball, or a ground out to second. Stop playing him so much!
* Hang in there, Mr. Beckett. Better days are ahead. It's great to see him pitching deep and effectively.
As Clayton Kershaw nears his return following a successful rehab start, Paul Maholm gets another chance to show what he has with his fourth start. The Phillies had their way against him last start, so let's see how he adjusts.
Saturday, June 29, 2013
Beckett officially done for the season
Any hope of Josh Beckett making some sort of comeback this season was put to rest on Saturday, as the Dodgers announced he will undergo season-ending surgery. It'll be to relieve pressure on a nerve in his neck, which has caused him to experience a tingling sensation in his fingers that has not gone away.
It's a shame because I really thought Beckett would have a good season, especially after posting a 2.93 ERA in seven starts after being traded from the Red Sox last season. It was obvious from the start to this year's campaign that he was not the same pitcher, as he was 0-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in eight starts. It was ugly.
The Dodgers have missed him this season, especially after watching how horrific Chris Capuano was on Friday. He was expected to slide into the 4-5 spot of the rotation, but now he becomes another example of a pitcher who has failed to deliver. At least he has an excuse.
Beckett is due to make nearly $16 million next season, so he's not going anywhere. Recovery time is about three-five months, which gives him plenty of time to be ready for Spring Training. Who knows how much he has left in the tank, but he'll get a chance to prove he's ready to go if he can properly recover.
It's a shame because I really thought Beckett would have a good season, especially after posting a 2.93 ERA in seven starts after being traded from the Red Sox last season. It was obvious from the start to this year's campaign that he was not the same pitcher, as he was 0-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in eight starts. It was ugly.
The Dodgers have missed him this season, especially after watching how horrific Chris Capuano was on Friday. He was expected to slide into the 4-5 spot of the rotation, but now he becomes another example of a pitcher who has failed to deliver. At least he has an excuse.
Beckett is due to make nearly $16 million next season, so he's not going anywhere. Recovery time is about three-five months, which gives him plenty of time to be ready for Spring Training. Who knows how much he has left in the tank, but he'll get a chance to prove he's ready to go if he can properly recover.
Friday, May 31, 2013
Finger numbness has Beckett fearing the worst
Josh Beckett will be visiting a nerve specialist in Dallas on Monday to discuss the numbness he's felt in his fingertips on his right hand. It's the same specialist who's dealt with Chris Carpenter last season.
How severe is this injury? It's too early to tell, but that hasn't stopped Beckett from thinking his career could be over. As he stated, when you can't actually feel the baseball on your pitching hand, well, that's not exactly good news.
There's no doubt that this year has been a very disappointing one for Beckett, which mirrors the struggles of his entire team. He's 0-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, which are obviously ugly numbers. About the only thing he's done well is strikeout 41 in 43 1/3 innings, but then you see hitters have a .289 average against him, and the K's suddenly don't look like a big deal.
After coming over to the Dodgers in the blockbuster with the Red Sox last year, he put up great numbers by going 2-3 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. He was supposed to be a perfect guy for the middle of the rotation, pitching in a pitcher's park with two championship rings. But all of that has meant squat this year.
He's already on the 15-day DL with a groin strain dating back to May 14, and combined with this news, don't expect to see him back anytime soon. And if his worst fears are true, what a shame it would be if his career really is cut short.
I was expecting big things from him this season based on how strong he was at the end of last year. However, reality has reared its ugly head. He's obviously not an overpowering pitcher anymore, so relying on secondary stuff worked for a bit, not not so much now. Plus, he's been banged up since the start, and might be really banged up now. The Dodgers might not get anything out of him this year.
Injuries are tough both physically and mentally, and Beckett is in a spot right now where nothing seems to be going right. Who can blame him for being so frustrated? Let's hope this thing gets figured out and he can give the Dodgers something positive in the second half of the season.
How severe is this injury? It's too early to tell, but that hasn't stopped Beckett from thinking his career could be over. As he stated, when you can't actually feel the baseball on your pitching hand, well, that's not exactly good news.
There's no doubt that this year has been a very disappointing one for Beckett, which mirrors the struggles of his entire team. He's 0-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, which are obviously ugly numbers. About the only thing he's done well is strikeout 41 in 43 1/3 innings, but then you see hitters have a .289 average against him, and the K's suddenly don't look like a big deal.
After coming over to the Dodgers in the blockbuster with the Red Sox last year, he put up great numbers by going 2-3 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. He was supposed to be a perfect guy for the middle of the rotation, pitching in a pitcher's park with two championship rings. But all of that has meant squat this year.
He's already on the 15-day DL with a groin strain dating back to May 14, and combined with this news, don't expect to see him back anytime soon. And if his worst fears are true, what a shame it would be if his career really is cut short.
I was expecting big things from him this season based on how strong he was at the end of last year. However, reality has reared its ugly head. He's obviously not an overpowering pitcher anymore, so relying on secondary stuff worked for a bit, not not so much now. Plus, he's been banged up since the start, and might be really banged up now. The Dodgers might not get anything out of him this year.
Injuries are tough both physically and mentally, and Beckett is in a spot right now where nothing seems to be going right. Who can blame him for being so frustrated? Let's hope this thing gets figured out and he can give the Dodgers something positive in the second half of the season.
Wednesday, May 15, 2013
Greinke starts Wednesday as Beckett gets DL'd
The answer to the previous post: Zack Greinke will come off the 15-day DL and start Wednesday night in Dodger Stadium against the Nationals. Switching places with him will be Josh Beckett, who has a left groin strain.
With the way the Dodgers have disappointed this season, I'm not surprised that Greinke isn't getting another rehab outing. He's their big money investment (well, one of many anyway) and if he's good to go, why not put him out there? I'm still nervous that it's too soon, but hopefully he'll prove me wrong.
A day after Clayton Kershaw once again showed the world why he's the best pitcher in baseball, it will be cool to see Greinke go right after him. That was the original plan coming out of Spring Training, but with Greinke's elbow acting up, he had to be pushed back a few days. Of course, now that Kershaw threw 132 pitches on Tuesday and is getting an extra day of rest, who knows if they will remain back-to-back.
As for Beckett, it's obvious that he's just a shell of his former self. Is it because of his groin, or because he's just plain washed up? I'm fearing it's a little of both, as his 0-5 record and 5.19 ERA in eight starts are just pitiful numbers. I really thought he was going to have a good season, but then again, I also thought Luis Cruz would be good, so that shows what I know.
With the way the Dodgers have disappointed this season, I'm not surprised that Greinke isn't getting another rehab outing. He's their big money investment (well, one of many anyway) and if he's good to go, why not put him out there? I'm still nervous that it's too soon, but hopefully he'll prove me wrong.
A day after Clayton Kershaw once again showed the world why he's the best pitcher in baseball, it will be cool to see Greinke go right after him. That was the original plan coming out of Spring Training, but with Greinke's elbow acting up, he had to be pushed back a few days. Of course, now that Kershaw threw 132 pitches on Tuesday and is getting an extra day of rest, who knows if they will remain back-to-back.
As for Beckett, it's obvious that he's just a shell of his former self. Is it because of his groin, or because he's just plain washed up? I'm fearing it's a little of both, as his 0-5 record and 5.19 ERA in eight starts are just pitiful numbers. I really thought he was going to have a good season, but then again, I also thought Luis Cruz would be good, so that shows what I know.
Tuesday, March 19, 2013
An updated look at the rotation candidates
As we currently stand, there are 13 games left in Spring Training. Here's another look at how the rotation is shaping up, as the battle for the fifth starter heats up.
Clayton Kershaw
2-2, 19 IP, 20 K, 4 BB, 3.79 ERA, 1.32 WHIP
Kershaw recently took a liner off of his calf, but as usual, wasn't affected at all. Rumor has it he's pretty good. 'Nuff said.
Zack Greinke
0-0, 5 IP, 3 K, 1 BB, 3.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP
Obviously, this hasn't been the start to his Dodger tenure that Greinke has hoped for. On the good side, his elbow injury appears to be minor, with the only setback being that he might not be ready for his first start. After that, he appears good to go. With the money he makes, the Dodgers will take every precaution necessary, especially since they have plenty of other starters who can plug a gap in the meantime.
Chad Billingsley
0-1, 7 2/3 IP, 6 K, 3 BB, 7.04 ERA, 1.96 WHIP
The numbers are high, but the good news is that he's even pitching at all. I still have plenty of worries about Billingsley lasting all year, or with him being effective at all if he's not 100%.
Hyun-Jin Ryu
1-2, 16 1/3 IP, 18 K, 6 BB, 4.41 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
Ryu has gotten progressively better as he settles into pitching to MLB hitters. His last start against the Brewers he surrendered one run in 5 2/3 innings, striking out six while allowing only three hits. I really like him towards the end of the rotation, as hitters aren't used to him yet, and he has the stuff to matchup very well against other 4-5 starters.
Josh Beckett
0-0, 9 1/3 IP, 11 K, 3 BB, 0.96 ERA, 0.75 WHIP
Speaking of pitchers I like this year, Beckett is right atop that list. He showed last year that coming to LA has dramatically helped his career, and I expect him to be great this year as well. A full season in LA will show that he still can get it done, and very well, too.
Chris Capuano
0-1, 9 1/3 IP, 10 K, 2 BB, 10.61 ERA, 1.61 WHIP
Not the greatest of starts for Capuano, who hasn't gotten going at all. The K/BB split is encouraging, though. The longball has killed him, as he's already given up four, so if he figures out how to cut down on that, he'll be fine.
Aaron Harang
1-0, 9 IP, 4 K, 5 BB, 10.00 ERA, 2.44 WHIP
Yikes. It's hard to believe his record is even 1-0 with numbers like those, even if it is Spring Training. When opponents are hitting .395 against you, it's probably not the best way to earn a rotation spot. It's hard to imagine that happening at this point. He better get ready for long relief or another team.
Ted Lilly
0-2, 6 2/3 IP, 5 K, 5 BB, 9.45 ERA, 2.40 WHIP
Once again we have a candidate for the #5 spot who has awful numbers. Lilly has the most to prove, as he missed nearly all of last season with a shoulder injury. And like Harang, I can't see how he gets that last spot. Just ugly numbers to say the least.
Clayton Kershaw
2-2, 19 IP, 20 K, 4 BB, 3.79 ERA, 1.32 WHIP
Kershaw recently took a liner off of his calf, but as usual, wasn't affected at all. Rumor has it he's pretty good. 'Nuff said.
Zack Greinke
0-0, 5 IP, 3 K, 1 BB, 3.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP
Obviously, this hasn't been the start to his Dodger tenure that Greinke has hoped for. On the good side, his elbow injury appears to be minor, with the only setback being that he might not be ready for his first start. After that, he appears good to go. With the money he makes, the Dodgers will take every precaution necessary, especially since they have plenty of other starters who can plug a gap in the meantime.
Chad Billingsley
0-1, 7 2/3 IP, 6 K, 3 BB, 7.04 ERA, 1.96 WHIP
The numbers are high, but the good news is that he's even pitching at all. I still have plenty of worries about Billingsley lasting all year, or with him being effective at all if he's not 100%.
Hyun-Jin Ryu
1-2, 16 1/3 IP, 18 K, 6 BB, 4.41 ERA, 1.35 WHIP
Ryu has gotten progressively better as he settles into pitching to MLB hitters. His last start against the Brewers he surrendered one run in 5 2/3 innings, striking out six while allowing only three hits. I really like him towards the end of the rotation, as hitters aren't used to him yet, and he has the stuff to matchup very well against other 4-5 starters.
Josh Beckett
0-0, 9 1/3 IP, 11 K, 3 BB, 0.96 ERA, 0.75 WHIP
Speaking of pitchers I like this year, Beckett is right atop that list. He showed last year that coming to LA has dramatically helped his career, and I expect him to be great this year as well. A full season in LA will show that he still can get it done, and very well, too.
Chris Capuano
0-1, 9 1/3 IP, 10 K, 2 BB, 10.61 ERA, 1.61 WHIP
Not the greatest of starts for Capuano, who hasn't gotten going at all. The K/BB split is encouraging, though. The longball has killed him, as he's already given up four, so if he figures out how to cut down on that, he'll be fine.
Aaron Harang
1-0, 9 IP, 4 K, 5 BB, 10.00 ERA, 2.44 WHIP
Yikes. It's hard to believe his record is even 1-0 with numbers like those, even if it is Spring Training. When opponents are hitting .395 against you, it's probably not the best way to earn a rotation spot. It's hard to imagine that happening at this point. He better get ready for long relief or another team.
Ted Lilly
0-2, 6 2/3 IP, 5 K, 5 BB, 9.45 ERA, 2.40 WHIP
Once again we have a candidate for the #5 spot who has awful numbers. Lilly has the most to prove, as he missed nearly all of last season with a shoulder injury. And like Harang, I can't see how he gets that last spot. Just ugly numbers to say the least.
Saturday, August 25, 2012
Signed and sealed: Another new day in LA
Just when you thought the new Dodgers' ownership couldn't top themselves... think again.
The same team that has gone out and acquired Hanley Ramirez, Shane Victorino, Joe Blanton, Brandon League, and Randy Choate has taken their new philosophy of "spend, spend, spend" even further. Coming over to LA from Boston are superstars Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, and Nick Punto. OK, so technically Punto isn't a superstar, and Crawford and Beckett haven't been this year either, but you get the point.
Shuttling across the country to Boston are James Loney, Jerry Sands, Rubby De La Rosa, Ivan De Jesus, and top prospect Allen Webster.
The two major players in this deal for the Dodgers are obviously Gonzalez and Beckett. In Gonzalez, the Dodgers are finally getting the cleanup hitter they've been looking for. Now they can have Matt Kemp hit #3, Gonzalez #4, and flip-flop Hanley Ramirez and Andre Ethier in the #5-6 spots depending on the matchup. That's pretty nasty, and a heck of a lot better than what they've had.
Gonzalez wasn't the same player in the first half of the season, as he hit .283 with only 6 homers and 45 RBIs. But, in 37 games since the break, he's really found his stroke, hitting .338 with 9 homers and 41 RBIs. That's the guy the Dodgers need in their order cleaning up the bases.
The arrival of Beckett is fantastic timing only because of the latest injury to Chad Billingsley. It's the second time this year he's shown elbow inflammation, so who knows what kind of time he'll miss. And when you're bringing in a guy who was a major player on two championship teams, that's a good thing.
There's no denying that Beckett has not enjoyed the 2012 season at all. Right now he's 5-11 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. That's a heck of a lot different than last season (13-7, 2.89, 1.03). And let's not forget about the drama that has hovered around him (chicken and beer, playing golf).
There's also no denying that, much like Hanley Ramirez, he really needed a change of scenery, and he's got it. Take a look at his postseason numbers: 14 games (13 starts), 7-3, 3.07 ERA, 0.94 WHIP. You don't think the Dodgers are excited about that? Here's a guy who won't be rattled to take the ball in October, and it shows.
It's hard to say too much about Crawford now, as he won't even be a factor this year after undergoing Tommy John surgery a couple days ago. Here's what we do know: his time in Boston has been a disaster. The Red Sox have to be ecstatic to simply rid themselves of his bloated contract, which was 7 years and $142 million back in 2010. Last year he played in 130 games and hit .255, and this year played 31 and hit .288. Not exactly the types of numbers they were expecting.
The Dodgers can now be patient with him as he recovers from surgery, as it typically takes anywhere from 6-9 months. All things considered, he could be ready for Spring Training, or closer to the start of the season if all goes well. And if he can find his groove that made him a superstar in Tampa, then the outfield of Crawford, Kemp, and Ethier is just awesome. Time will tell, however.
Punto gives the Dodgers another guy off the bench, which was needed since Jerry Hairston, Jr. has been lost for the season with a hip injury, which completely sucks. I'm sure Punto will get some playing time, as it's not like Juan Uribe should play over him. Heck, a one-armed Crawford could switch positions to infield and still play better than Uribe.
Needless to say, it's a historic deal for the Dodgers, and no doubt once again jolts some life into a team that has fallen back a bit in the playoff push. Now they have no excuses. Management has added plenty of positive pieces, so it's time to get the job done.
The same team that has gone out and acquired Hanley Ramirez, Shane Victorino, Joe Blanton, Brandon League, and Randy Choate has taken their new philosophy of "spend, spend, spend" even further. Coming over to LA from Boston are superstars Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, and Nick Punto. OK, so technically Punto isn't a superstar, and Crawford and Beckett haven't been this year either, but you get the point.
Shuttling across the country to Boston are James Loney, Jerry Sands, Rubby De La Rosa, Ivan De Jesus, and top prospect Allen Webster.
The two major players in this deal for the Dodgers are obviously Gonzalez and Beckett. In Gonzalez, the Dodgers are finally getting the cleanup hitter they've been looking for. Now they can have Matt Kemp hit #3, Gonzalez #4, and flip-flop Hanley Ramirez and Andre Ethier in the #5-6 spots depending on the matchup. That's pretty nasty, and a heck of a lot better than what they've had.
Gonzalez wasn't the same player in the first half of the season, as he hit .283 with only 6 homers and 45 RBIs. But, in 37 games since the break, he's really found his stroke, hitting .338 with 9 homers and 41 RBIs. That's the guy the Dodgers need in their order cleaning up the bases.
The arrival of Beckett is fantastic timing only because of the latest injury to Chad Billingsley. It's the second time this year he's shown elbow inflammation, so who knows what kind of time he'll miss. And when you're bringing in a guy who was a major player on two championship teams, that's a good thing.
There's no denying that Beckett has not enjoyed the 2012 season at all. Right now he's 5-11 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. That's a heck of a lot different than last season (13-7, 2.89, 1.03). And let's not forget about the drama that has hovered around him (chicken and beer, playing golf).
There's also no denying that, much like Hanley Ramirez, he really needed a change of scenery, and he's got it. Take a look at his postseason numbers: 14 games (13 starts), 7-3, 3.07 ERA, 0.94 WHIP. You don't think the Dodgers are excited about that? Here's a guy who won't be rattled to take the ball in October, and it shows.
It's hard to say too much about Crawford now, as he won't even be a factor this year after undergoing Tommy John surgery a couple days ago. Here's what we do know: his time in Boston has been a disaster. The Red Sox have to be ecstatic to simply rid themselves of his bloated contract, which was 7 years and $142 million back in 2010. Last year he played in 130 games and hit .255, and this year played 31 and hit .288. Not exactly the types of numbers they were expecting.
The Dodgers can now be patient with him as he recovers from surgery, as it typically takes anywhere from 6-9 months. All things considered, he could be ready for Spring Training, or closer to the start of the season if all goes well. And if he can find his groove that made him a superstar in Tampa, then the outfield of Crawford, Kemp, and Ethier is just awesome. Time will tell, however.
Punto gives the Dodgers another guy off the bench, which was needed since Jerry Hairston, Jr. has been lost for the season with a hip injury, which completely sucks. I'm sure Punto will get some playing time, as it's not like Juan Uribe should play over him. Heck, a one-armed Crawford could switch positions to infield and still play better than Uribe.
Needless to say, it's a historic deal for the Dodgers, and no doubt once again jolts some life into a team that has fallen back a bit in the playoff push. Now they have no excuses. Management has added plenty of positive pieces, so it's time to get the job done.
Friday, August 24, 2012
Dodgers and Red Sox working on a MAJOR deal
Word has come Friday afternoon that the Dodgers and Red Sox are piecing together a blockbuster deal that involves some major players.
Accoring to ESPN Boston, the Dodgers are about to receive Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, and Nick Punto. The Dodgers have been rumored to do anything from sending over players like Rubby De La Rosa, James Loney, Ivan De Jesus, and Jerry Sands, to simply taking on all of those contracts. The Dodgers' part of the deal is still being worked out.
For the Dodgers, the deal means a HUGE upgrade at first (Gonzalez for Loney/Juan Rivera). Plus, Beckett has plenty of big game experience, and could use a change of scenery to regain his fire, ala Hanley Ramirez. And for the Sox, it's a great way to shed some mega contracts and somewhat start over. It makes sense on both sides.
As we learned near the trade deadline with Ryan Dempster, let's not assume any trade is finalized until we get official word. But if this does go down... whoa, baby! This is a big day!
For updates on this, keep checking out MLBTradeRumors.com.
Accoring to ESPN Boston, the Dodgers are about to receive Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, and Nick Punto. The Dodgers have been rumored to do anything from sending over players like Rubby De La Rosa, James Loney, Ivan De Jesus, and Jerry Sands, to simply taking on all of those contracts. The Dodgers' part of the deal is still being worked out.
For the Dodgers, the deal means a HUGE upgrade at first (Gonzalez for Loney/Juan Rivera). Plus, Beckett has plenty of big game experience, and could use a change of scenery to regain his fire, ala Hanley Ramirez. And for the Sox, it's a great way to shed some mega contracts and somewhat start over. It makes sense on both sides.
As we learned near the trade deadline with Ryan Dempster, let's not assume any trade is finalized until we get official word. But if this does go down... whoa, baby! This is a big day!
For updates on this, keep checking out MLBTradeRumors.com.
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