Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Mattingly gets his new deal

Monday, October 21, 2013 sure looked like the end of the line for Don Mattingly with the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Instead, it may have only helped him get what he wanted.

About two-and-a-half months after that infamous press conference in which Mattingly and Ned Colletti practically refused to look to each other, the Dodgers have given Mattingly a new contract, reportedly for three years through 2016.  Terms have yet to be disclosed.

It's the right move for both sides, as Mattingly made it clear that having a one-year, "lame duck" contract just wasn't going to cut it.  His reasoning was that the players know he could be on the way out very soon, so he can't get as much production out of them.  That's debatable, but certainly understandable from his point of view.

I'm not sure how many other managers can claim to have gone 42-8 during a 50-game stretch at any point of any season (probably very few), so he's shown he can win.  He guided the Dodgers to Game 6 of the NLCS before the Cardinals advanced, and that was without Matt Kemp and with a very banged up Hanley Ramirez.

Now that Mattingly has been taken care of, it's time to keep moving forward.  They certainly have the pitching addressed, as they've added arms like Dan Haren and Jamey Wright, and re-signed Brian Wilson and J.P. Howell.  There's always the possibility of trading an outfielder, though that seems less likely as time passes.  Maybe Andre Ethier gets moved closer to the season, if I had to guess.

I think the biggest issue is whether or not Clayton Kershaw and/or Hanley Ramirez get their extensions.  I would certainly hope so, but that's going to cost a lot of loot.  Even the Dodgers may have to be cautious there.

In the meantime, kudos to Colletti, Mattingly, and the rest of Dodgers' management for getting this deal done and moving forward.  Let's remember that Mattingly has only managed three seasons (260-225), so he's still learning and improving his in-game tactics.  With a new deal that brings stability, maybe 2014 is the year the Dodgers put it all together.

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Taking a look at the loaded Dodgers' bullpen

If you're a Dodger fan looking for quality arms, then Christmas was very kind.  Ned Colletti announced the signings of Chris Perez, Jamey Wright, and J.P. Howell on Tuesday, giving the Dodgers one of the deepest, and hopefully best, bullpens in all of baseball.

To go along with the signings of those three is the return of Brian Wilson, who was re-signed about three weeks ago.  With that in mind, let's take a look at the arms that could form the 'pen in April, with their 2013 stats in parenthesis.

Shoo-Ins:

Closer - RHP Kenley Jansen (28 saves, 16 holds, 1.88 ERA, 0.86 WHIP)
Enters the season as the clear-cut closer, and there's little reason to believe that will change.  Then again, in a crazy spot like closer, anything can happen.  Didn't Brandon League enter 2013 as the closer?  And wasn't Jonathan Broxton once a "shutdown" closer?  You get the point.  Still, with a great fastball and cutter, it's hard to believe Jansen will flop.

Setup - RHP Brian Wilson (3 holds, 0.66 ERA, 0.88 WHIP)
In a great move by Colletti, was brought back as both the primary eighth inning guy, and a fallback option in case Jansen has some troubles.  Was everything the Dodgers could have hoped for and more in 2013, and with more time ticking away since his Tommy John surgery in 2012, should have even stronger stuff for 2014.

LHP J.P. Howell (11 holds, 2.03 ERA, 1.05 WHIP)
Got the multi-year deal he was searching for, and with a .164 average against left-handed hitters, will find himself in plenty of big situations once again.  Two straight seasons of great numbers with the Rays and Dodgers shows he's up for the challenge.

LHP Paco Rodriguez (20 holds, 2 saves, 2.32 ERA, 0.90 WHIP)
About the only thing that went wrong for him in an incredible rookie year was the nosedive he took at the end of last year, as he was actually left off of the NLCS roster.  But with a fresh arm and deceptive delivery, showed what he could do for many months.  The hope, of course, is that his arm strength can last during the rigors of a full season.

RHP Chris Perez (25 saves, 1 hold, 4.33 ERA, 1.43 WHIP with Indians)
He's a two-time All-Star, so he certainly knows how to get the big outs.  Last season was a disaster in every way for him, whether he was getting hurt, blowing saves, or getting busted by the law.  The best thing for him could very well be pitching in friendly Dodger Stadium against weaker offenses and away from the closing spotlight.  I like the addition, as I'll take a chance on him over a bum like Ronald Belisario any day of the week.

Long Relief - RHP Jamey Wright (6 holds, 3.09 ERA, 1.20 WHIP with Rays)
As Colletti recently admitted, he wished he was more aggressive in re-signing him after the 2012 season.  A year of long relief success later, that's exactly what he did in bringing him back to LA for the same role.  There really aren't a whole heck of a lot of pitchers who actually embrace the role of getting ready quickly to pitch multiple innings at a moment's notice, and he's one of the best, so it's a good move.

Battling it Out:

RHP - Chris Withrow (4 holds, 1 save, 2.60 ERA, 0.90 WHIP)
Like Rodriguez, is another young arm who got plenty of big outs. I bet people will look at those numbers above and be pleasantly surprised. I can see him teaming with Perez and Rodriguez in the middle innings to bridge the gap to Wilson and Jansen. He's got the hard stuff to do it.

RHP Jose Dominguez (1 hold, 2.16 ERA, 1.68 WHIP)
A young man with electric stuff, as he can reach 100 MPH at any point.  He's very fortunately to have such a low ERA, as opponents hit .314 off of him, albeit in a small sample size with 8 1/3 innings.  Still, there's something about power arms out of the bullpen that is so intriguing, and if he can learn to pitch to corners and mix in some soft stuff, he can be a huge weapon.

RHP Brandon League (14 saves, 2 holds, 5.30 ERA, 1.55 WHIP)
Ahhh, good old League, the guy who won't go anywhere thanks to two years left on a three-year, $22.5 million contract.  What a shame it would be if he beats out better arms like Withrow and Dominguez, but that's a definite possibility.  Maybe Rick Honeycutt found something in his delivery that will improve him?  I'm searching for something here, because it's hard to get even a little bit excited to see him pitch again.

Don't Forget About:

LHP Scott Elbert (Did not pitch in 2013)
Still recovering from Tommy John surgery, he will be out until around the All-Star break at best guess.  Pitched mostly in 2011 and 2012, and with ERA's of 2.43 and 2.20, respectively, it's easy to see why a lefty with hard stuff like him sticks around.  Suppose Rodriguez gets worn down again, then possibly Elbert steps in down the stretch.  It might not be entirely realistic to count on him for any of 2014, but like it says above, don't forget about him.

Bottom Line:
By my count, that's nine guys duking it out for between 7-8 spots in the bullpen (taking out an injured Elbert).  Plus, you have to remember that when fully healthy, the starting rotation sports six guys in Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Dan Haren, Chad Billingsley, and Josh Beckett.  You know those first three names won't be anywhere near the bullpen, so one of Haren, Billingsley, or Beckett may have to be do the Chris Capuano act of bouncing between starter and reliever.

With the way this team gets hurt, Don Mattingly might not need to make many tough decisions on who stays and who goes, much like the outfield situation from last season.  But of the three names on the "Battling it Out" list, I'd say as of right now Withrow gets the nod, with League and then Dominguez.  League is awful, but has that damn contract, so he can't be ignored.  Dominguez has to show more consistency before getting a permanent stay in LA.

Colletti has stated that he's all but done with roster moves, so it would be a surprise to see another reliever signed.  Then again, if the Dodgers bid and are successful in getting Masahiro Tanaka, then that throws a wrench into all of these plans, not that that's a bad thing if this kid is the real deal.  We shall see.

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Another bullpen boost as Howell re-signs

More good news for the Dodgers' bullpen, as J.P. Howell has signed for two years and $11.25 million, with a vesting option for 2016.

The option would be triggered if he makes 120 appearances in the next two seasons.  Will that happen?  It's possible, as 55 appearances with the Rays in 2011 led to 67 with the Dodgers last season, which adds up to 122.  He's made 60+ appearances two other times with the Rays in 2008 and 2009.

Last season was his first in LA, and it was a good one.  He pitched in 67 games, which was good for fourth on the club behind Paco Rodriguez, Kenley Jansen, and the legendary Ronald Belisario (not).  Primarily as a middle-late inning reliever, he collected 11 holds while going 4-1 with a sparkling 2.03 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

In addition, left-handed batters hit a mere .164 against him, and right-handed ones weren't much better at .222.  He only surrendered two home runs in 62 innings, and struck out 54.

All in all, he was more than effective in getting the job done, and teamed with Rodriguez to form a pretty deadly duo from the left side.  Now that same combination will be back to get the ball to Brian Wilson and Jansen in the late innings.  It's a win-win.

Not surprisingly, Howell was originally seeking a three-year deal after his big season.  Ned Colletti was reluctant to do so, and Howell can blame the awful Matt Guerrier and Brandon League for that.  Much like Juan Uribe, Colletti was able to find a common ground by settling at two years.  The only difference is that Howell got a $6.25 million option for a third year, and Uribe only has two years.

There's still more work to be done if you're Colletti, as a bullpen that relies on guys like Chris Withrow, Javy Guerra, Jose Dominguez, and League are either inexperience, bad, or both.  There's four good relievers in Rodriguez, Howell, Wilson, and Jansen, no doubt, but putting in a right-handed pitcher to get out of a sticky situation in the earlier innings is still important.

Sunday, December 15, 2013

With Ellis gone, Dodgers' bench looks depleted

Yesterday the Dodgers decided to bring back Juan Uribe on a two-year, $15 million deal to remain the starting third baseman.  Today, their bench took a hit when Mark Ellis decided to sign with the Cardinals.

Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports reports that Ellis will ink a one-year deal with St. Louis, pending a physical.  It's not too surprising that Ellis is gone considering the Dodgers declined his option after signing Alexander Guerrero to a four-year deal, but there was still some talk of keep him aboard as insurance.  Now, he becomes insurance for talented youngster Kolten Wong.

Now that Ellis has moved on, the Dodgers' bench suddenly looks pretty bare.  The following have packed their bags for elsewhere this offsesason: Nick Punto (A's), Skip Schumaker (Reds), Jerry Hairston (retired), and now Ellis.  Not exactly the most productive players at the plate, but versatile guys who filled in at multiple positions.  And with an injury-prone team like the Dodgers, little things like bench depth becomes that much more important.

The question now is what the Dodgers will do with their bench for 2014.  Some in-house candidates include Tim Federowicz, Dee Gordon, Scott Van Slyke, and Elian Herrera.  All four have big league experience, albeit with not very good results.  Other candidates could be Nick Buss, Drew Butera, and Justin Sellers.

All of these guys are decent, but certainly not the greatest options to fill in when called upon.  Ned Colletti made it a point after the Dodgers were eliminated by the Cardinals in the NLCS that he wants to get younger on the bench.  With that in mind, it's not surprising that he let some of the old boys go.

Who's out there that the Dodgers can sign for their bench?  Just to throw some names out there, there's Mark Reynolds, Casey McGehee, Jayson Nix, Roger Bernadina, and Chris Coghlan, to name a few.  There's always the trade option, and if Colletti really is serious about moving one of his outfielders, you can guess he'll want some depth in return for salary relief.

I'll miss Ellis, as I always appreciated how hard he played no matter how banged up he was.  It's obvious he's not scaring anyone at the plate anymore, but his defense earned him a final nod for Gold Glove this year, something I'm not sure many people realized.  He probably felt like the Dodgers didn't find him very useful anymore, so I can't blame him for leaving.

I can see Colletti either relying on some of the youngsters to step up and fill roles, or blow the thing up completely and sign a few new guys.  Depth on the bench and in the bullpen are his biggest priorities as January starts to roll around.  Let's see what kinds of moves he makes.

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Welcome back, Juan Uribe


*** UPDATE ***

The deal is for two years and $15 million, according to Buster Olney of ESPN.

***

After floating the idea out there that Michael Young could be the Dodgers' starting third baseman in 2014, Ned Colletti was able to convince Juan Uribe to stick around after all.

Uribe has agreed to stay in LA by signing a two-year deal, as first reported by Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports.  The money is not known yet, but is probably in the $10-15 million range, as best I can guess.

The picture above is a huge reason why Uribe was able to get something more than just a one-year deal with maybe an option for another, as his NLDS-winning two-run run to beat the Braves will go down as one of the biggest moments in Dodgers' postseason history.  That hit was the culmination of a complete turnaround from where he was after the previous two seasons.

And what a turnaround it was.  After winning a World Series ring with the Giants in 2010, he signed a three-year, $21 million deal with the Dodgers.  In 2011, he played in 77 games and hit .204 with 4 homers and 28 RBIs.  The following year he played in 66 games, hitting an even more pathetic .191 with 2 homers and 17 RBIs.

Yet, there he was on the 2013 Opening Day roster at third base, albeit as a backup to Luis Cruz.  Thanks in large part to Cruz's own incompetence, Uribe slowly got more starts, and ended up playing in 132 games, hitting .278 with 12 homers and 50 RBIs.  He also was fantastic at the hot corner, becoming one of the three finalists for Gold Glove that ended up going to the Rockies' Nolan Arenado.

During the latter part of the season, I wrote about how Uribe probably earned himself a new deal thanks in large part to his good season, and because the free agent market for third basemen was so pitiful (check out my article here).  There was a thought that the Dodgers would chase after current shortstop and World Series champion Stephen Drew and push Hanley Ramirez to third.  Then there was the recent talk of putting Young at third, which seemed like a pretty desperate solution.

Now that Uribe is back for the next two seasons, the Dodgers obviously have to hope that he doesn't repeat the first couple of season from his old deal.  It's hard to name a worse player in all of baseball than him from that time, or at least one who received as much playing time as him.  He was slow, old, out-of-shape, and had a look on his face that suggested he was completely lost.  I couldn't wait for him to leave town.

Then 2013 hit, and when the other options weren't there, I never thought I'd say this, but I'm happy Colletti was able to convince him to stay with a reasonable deal.  One year with an option would have been better, but two years isn't a big commitment in the grand scheme of things (Uribe reportedly wanted a three-year deal to start the offseason).  For Uribe, the motivation will be to prove that he's not simply another "contract year" player who rose to the occasion, got the money, then tanked again.

Colletti can now shift his focus on adding to the bullpen and his bench... and who knows, maybe a trade of one of his outfielders?  We'll see.

Saturday, December 7, 2013

Dodgers enter Winter Meetings looking to get younger, fill some gaps

Mark Saxon over at ESPNLosAngeles.com wrote his latest blog about the Dodgers' intentions as they head to Lake Buena Vista, Florida for the Winter Meetings.  In a nutshell, don't expect a huge splash like they had last year in signing Zack Greinke and Hyun-Jin Ryu.

What we should expect to see is a focus on adding a third baseman (which could mean re-signing Juan Uribe), and a focus on restoring bench depth and relievers.

It's not exactly the most exciting news in the world, but keep in mind the Dodgers have already done some work in November.  They signed Alexander Guerrero with the hope that he can anchor second base the next four years, or even play some short and shift Hanley Ramirez to third.  Dan Haren was chosen for one year over Ricky Nolasco for four, which was a smart move.  They also brought back Brian Wilson to continue one of the best late inning combinations with Kenley Jansen, a fantastic move.

As I pointed out during the year, the timing for Uribe's resurgence could not have been any better for him.  The free agent market for third basemen is basically zilch.  Uribe went from hitting .191 with 2 homers and 17 RBIs in 2012 to .278/12/50 this past year.  His OBP shot up from .258 to .331, and his games played from 66 to 132.  There's always a risk that he could regress again, but a similar contract to Wilson's (one year, with an option for another) would make sense.

On the relief side, there's a bunch of guys with closing experience like Grant Balfour, Joaquin Benoit, Fernando Rodney, and Kevin Gregg (who was actually released by the Dodgers last Spring Training).  Those guys will probably require longer contracts than one or two years the Dodgers will offer, so I'd be surprised if any of those guys sign.

For middle relief, names like Mitchell Boggs, Jesse Crain, and Kyle Farnsworth pop up from the right side, and J.P. Howell and Matt Thornton from the left side.  The Dodgers would like to bring back Howell, but again, he wants a three-year deal, and the Dodgers appear to have learned their lesson from the horrible Matt Guerrier and Brandon League deals, and don't want to go above to.  Good for them.

None of these names will blow you away, but then again, the Dodgers have their core in place, especially if Clayton Kershaw and Hanley Ramirez get extended before next season.  Right now it's all about plugging in holes, so stay tuned for small signings here and there.

What's about the only news that could blow you away?  If Matt Kemp or Andre Ethier get traded.  Buster Olney takes a look at that possibility (Insider only).

Thursday, December 5, 2013

Wilson is back, as Belisario gets booted

Some good news coming out of the Dodgers' bullpen these last few days.  Brian Wilson has been re-signed to a one-year, $10 million contract on Thursday, with a player option for 2015 that could pay him the same.

The other good news?  Ronald Belisario has been non-tendered, mercifully ending his roller coaster ride in LA.

Wilson did everything the Dodgers could have hoped for towards the end of 2013, and then some.  He was signed as a free agent in late-July after winning two World Series rings with the Giants (one as their closer, another as he was recovering from Tommy John surgery).  He made his debut on August 19 and proceeded to go 2-1 with an 0.66 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 18 appearances covering 13 2/3 innings.

In the playoffs, he made six appearances without surrendering a run, as he clearly showed the world that he has plenty of gas left in the tank.

With that in mind, I'm shocked that he's back.  I thought for sure he would land a closer's role somewhere.  Maybe he could've and never could agree on terms, or maybe he just liked pitching in LA and was never blown away by any other offer.  Either way, it'll be great to see the Wilson-Kenley Jansen combination shutting down the eighth and ninth innings again.  That's great news for a team looking to take the next step to the World Series.

If I'm a starting pitcher for the Dodgers, I'm thrilled that Wilson is back because my chances for a higher win total just went up.

As for Belisario, there was no way the Dodgers could conceivably give him another deal after watching how inconsistent he's been the last couple of seasons.  This past year in 77 appearances, he went 5-7 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, which is very high.  His stuff is never in doubt, but his ability to throw for strikes consistently was only getting worse and worse.  Plus, he had a 7.36 ERA in seven postseason appearances.

In other words, good bye, and good riddance!

Sunday, December 1, 2013

Hanley wants to stay awhile... and the Dodgers will take him

As Hanley Ramirez was celebrating a World Baseball Classic championship with his Dominican Republic teammates on Thursday, he dropped a bit of news: he's working on a contract extension with the Dodgers, and it could be done this winter.

For how much and how long?  That he wouldn't say, so let the speculation commence.

Ramirez enters 2014 in the final year of his six-year, $70 million contract he originally inked with the Marlins in 2009.  We all know how he started off as the next five-tool star, only to fall on some pretty hard times before reviving his career with the Dodgers.

Despite all of the injuries Ramirez went through last season (thumb, hamstring, back, ribs), there was no doubt this guy meant everything to the Dodgers in winning the NL West.  It seems like he played in more than 86 games, but alas, we only saw him in about half of the games.  In those games, he hit .345 with 20 homers and 57 RBIs, a clear indication of just how good he was.

The Dodgers really have no choice but to extend him.  Obviously they still feel that at 30 entering next season, he still is in the prime of his career and is an MVP-like player.  The fact that he put up those great numbers with injuries all over his body shows the talent he has.  Plus, his defense at short was much-improved, and he may actually switch to third for next season if needed.

Those who are skeptical of such an extension will point out that both Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier received mega-deals after they put up big numbers, and proceeded to see their numbers go down ever since.  Ramirez, fair or not, is injury prone, though the Dodgers hope he can't possibly be as banged up in the future as he was in 2013.  The bottom line is, no matter who the player is, there's always risk involved in long-term investments.

I'll wait to see what kind of deal Ramirez does sign, but I'm probably going to like it no matter what.  Along with Yasiel Puig, Ramirez brought so much more energy and production to a fledgling Dodgers' squad this past season.  Look how flat they were once he was beaned in the ribs during Game 1 of the NLCS.  They only could muster a couple of wins as their offense tanked.  A healthy Ramirez was good enough to lift them to the Fall Classic.

Hopefully the Dodgers get this done soon, then shift their attention to filling other spots, such as in the bullpen.  Could a trade of Kemp, Ethier, or Carl Crawford be next?  You never know.

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Nolasco packs his bags for the Twin Cities

He better dress warm.  It's slightly colder in Minnesota than it is in LA.

While Ricky Nolasco might not have gotten the enormous five-year, $80 million deal he was originally seeking (or at least floated out there to inflate his own value), he signed a four-year, $49 million contract with the Twins on Wednesday.  The Twins had an astronomical 5.26 ERA from their starters last season, so you can understand why they're desperate to bring any arms of value into the fold.

Kudos to both Nolasco and the Dodgers on this one.  First, let's give credit to Nolasco for what he brought to the table in LA after being acquired from the Marlins in early July.  The Dodgers went 10-2 in his first 12 starts, as he personally went 8-1.  He was big part of the Dodgers' red hot summer run, and gave them four great starters along with Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and Hyun-Jin Ryu.

And here's where the Dodgers deserve credit - they recognized that he's probably not that good, as his final few appearances were rather poor.  After going 5-0 with a 1.66 ERA in August, he went 2-2 with a 6.66 ERA in September.  He fell off so badly that he only got one start in the playoffs, losing Game 4 of the NLCS at home against the Cardinals, lasting only four mediocre innings.

Oh ya, he also was skipped over in Game 4 of the NLDS, as Don Mattingly chose to put Kershaw on the mound with only three days of rest.  The same Kershaw who eventually ran out of gas in getting drilled in the NLCS Game 6 to end the season.  Could the two things relate to one another?  Who knows, but you have to wonder.

So, while we all know the Dodgers have incredibly deep pockets, I'm happy to see them stay away from throwing around $50 million at Nolasco for multiple years and instead give Dan Haren $10 million for a year.  It makes much more financial sense, and while Haren won't get as scorching hot as Nolasco did in August, he can still be a very effective 4-5 starter in that rotation.

Good luck to Nolasco in Minnesota, who most likely becomes their #1 starter by default.

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Dodgers sign Haren for end of rotation

As Dodger fans wait on any possible movement with big names like David Price and Masahiro Tanaka, management added a piece to the back end of the rotation.

Dan Haren has agreed to a one-year, $10 million deal on Monday, with an option for another year in 2014, and $3 million in incentives.  He'll slot in right behind Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, and Hyun-Jin Ryu as Josh Beckett and Chad Billingsley work their way back from injuries.

Now 33 and with over 2,000 innings of Major League pitching already under his belt, it's safe to say we can't expect to see the same guy who was an All-Star from 2007-2009 with the A's and Diamondbacks.  In 31 starts with the Nationals last season, he went 10-14 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, as his team went from World Series contenders to flameouts for a variety of reasons.

Taking a closer look, however, you'll see some encouraging second half splits.  After he returned from a right shoulder injury in June, he ended up going 6-4 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 13 starts after the break.  Plus, his BAA went way down from .299 to .226.

If you're a believer in a second half performance carrying over into the next season, then Haren gives you plenty of reasons for optimism.  With the Dodgers, he can fit nicely into the 4-5 spot and not feel immediate pressure to beat other teams' aces.  It's a low-key signing, but a good one if his shoulder problems don't come back.

Now Haren has to prove he should keep his rotation spot when Beckett and Billingsley are declared good to go.  As Ned Colletti pointed out, the Dodgers know more than any other team that you can never have enough starting pitching.  Remember how Ted Lilly, Aaron Harang, and Chris Capuano were all left out of the rotation coming out of Spring Training last year?  Well, one injury after another made them scramble to call up guys like Stephen Fife and Matt "Ball 4" Magill to make emergency starts.  It wasn't pretty.

I applaud Colletti for going with a deal like this over giving Ricky Nolasco way too much money.  Haren might not get as hot as Nolasco was for a stretch last season, but he can still be very solid behind the studs at the top of the rotation.

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Nolasco wants the big bucks

But then again, don't we all?

As Ricky Nolasco hits the free agent market, he let it be known what he thinks he's worth: five years and $80 million.

Yes, really.

Maybe the two-year, $35 million contract that Tim Lincecum signed to remain with the Giants made guys like Nolasco think they can raise the bar even higher.  And you know what?  It might just work.

Let's take a look at Nolasco's 2013 season.  He started off the season making 18 starts with the Marlins, going 5-8 with a 3.85 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.  He was then moved to the Dodgers in early July and went 8-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 16 starts.

Looking at those numbers, it's safe to say that the trade worked out for the Dodgers, and his numbers improved.  And that would be true, as he was as red hot as a pitcher could be through his first 12 starts.

And then September 14 hit, and Nolasco was absolutely pummeled at home by the Giants, and everything fell apart.  His two starts after that weren't any good either, and his Game 4 start in the NLCS only lasted four ineffective innings against the Cardinals, putting the Dodgers in a 3-1 hole.

So, we've seen the absolute best and worst of Nolasco in a short amount of time.  Obviously he's going to sell his first 12 starts to prospective teams, as well as the innings he eats, as he's hovered around 190-200 the last three years.  For teams hard pressed to find quality starters, that's tough to ignore.

Unless Nolasco is willing to ease his contract demands, there's no way we should expect to see him back in Dodger blue next season.  Keep in mind that Chad Billingsley and Josh Beckett are still lurking, and guys like David Price and Masahiro Tanaka could be sought after.

Teams that are being linked to Nolasco are the Giants, Twins, Padres, and Phillies.  There could always be more, but my guess is more in the two to three year range, not what he currently is asking for.  Even the big money Dodgers have to draw a line at that.

Trade rumors for Kemp heating up

Have the Dodgers already run out of patience with Matt Kemp?

If you are to believe the rumors swirling around in the Hot Stove season, then perhaps they are.  As Kemp works to recover from ankle and shoulder injuries, both the Mariners and Rangers have been linked to acquiring him in recent days.

For the Dodgers, moving Kemp would serve a couple of purposes.  One, they still have four outfielders for three spots with the emergence of Yasiel Puig, who isn't going anywhere.  This was the same exact scenario all last season, but was never an issue because Kemp was hurt a lot, and Andre Ethier and Carl Crawford were banged up at times as well.  Don Mattingly never had to make any tough decisions because injuries controlled all of that.

The other reason is that the Dodgers might be admitting that they don't believe Kemp will ever live up to his massive eight-year, $160 million contract he inked in 2011.  He still has six years and $128 million remaining, which is huge for a guy who's spent much more time on the DL than producing wins for the Dodgers.

Sometimes injuries are chronic, which seems to be the case with Kemp's shoulder.  And sometimes injuries are freak accidents, like Kemp hurting his ankle with an awkward slide into home.  But no matter how it happens, right now he's a bit of damaged goods, and that might be putting it mildly.  Maybe the Dodgers would be wise to take a good offer if it comes their way.

While the rumors of moving to the Mariners don't include any names yet, the move to the Rangers is linked to shortstop Elvis Andrus.  Speaking of huge contracts, Andrus has nine years and $123 million remaining.  He's only 25, plays great defense, and has lightning fast speed.

The downside, other than that bloated contract, is his inability to get on base consistently.  He's not at all a power hitter (four homers, four triples, and 17 doubles this past season in 156 games), so a .328 OBP leaves something to be desired.  But 42 steals in 50 chances speaks for itself.  He was tied for fifth in baseball with teammate Alex Rios.

Say the Dodgers do pull the trigger on this deal, then would it work?  Defensively it would, as Andrus would play short and Hanley Ramirez can slide over to third, which would be better for his body, and Juan Uribe would be allowed to walk.  Plus a guy like Andre Ethier can enter the 2014 season knowing that centerfield is all his, and maybe would put up better numbers.

Offensively, however, I'm not so sure.  A healthy Kemp (if that ever happens again) is such an explosive hitter.  A 3-4 combination of Ramirez and Kemp can compete with anyone... if healthy.  You see, everything goes back to that word - "healthy."  Both of those guys have a hard time avoiding the injury bug.

We'll see over the winter if these Kemp trade rumors go anywhere, of if it's simply a case of Ned Colletti seeing what kind of value his star player has without really intending to move him.

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Another Cy Young award for the masterful Kershaw

Clayton Kershaw blew away the Cy Young competition the same way he blew away hitters all season long.

In what turned out to be a completely lopsided vote, Kershaw claimed 29 of a possible 30 first place votes in winning his second Cy Young Award in three years.  Adam Wainwright got the lone other top vote and finished second, and Rookie of the Year Jose Fernandez was third.

There really was no doubt who would win this award, as Kershaw's season was unlike any other.  In 33 starts, he finished 16-9 with a 1.83 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, .195 BAA, and 232 K's in 236 innings.  Throw in three complete games, two of which were shutouts, and you've got a pure ace.

Compared to the rest of the National League, he finished first in ERA, WHIP, and strikeouts; second in innings; and third in wins and complete games.

The next step for Kershaw is inking a massive extension, which is rumored to be in the $300 million range.  If you watched him on the live Cy Young Award announcement on MLB Network, or a little bit later on SportsCenter, you'd see how he avoided that questions all together.  And who can blame him?  He'll let his agent take care of that.

What I love about Kershaw is that even with another Cy Young in his trophy case, he talked about the need for getting a ring, and how all of the stats don't matter compared to winning a World Series.  The Dodgers will lock him up, then get to work on adding a few more pieces to get over the hump in October.

A Cy Young Award and a World Series ring in 2014?  Hey, when it comes to Kershaw, nothing is out of the question.

Monday, November 11, 2013

Puig falls short in Rookie of the Year race

Yasiel Puig had one of the most impactful rookie seasons in Dodgers' history this year, igniting a fire in June when the Dodgers were in dead last place in the NL West.  He ended up hitting .319 with 19 homers, 42 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases.

All awesome numbers... but still not good enough to beat Jose Fernandez for Rookie of the Year.

In what turned out to be pretty much a blowout, Fernandez took home 26 of a possible 30 first place votes in winning the National League Rookie of the Year.  He's the fourth Marlin to take home the prize.

As much as I'm a believer in how Puig helped turned a dreadful season around in LA, I can't say I'm surprised by this.  If this was voted on in June, July, or August, then Puig would have easily won.  But as Puig slowly cooled off, and the negative attention started coming his way, Fernandez was red hot to close out the season, despite being shut down after a September 11 start against the Braves.

The argument can be made that Puig's team not only made the playoffs, but went to the NLCS, while the Marlins were eliminated... well, pretty much once Opening Day hit.  But, if that's the stance that people are going to take, then that takes away great seasons by players who have bad teammates, which isn't right.

Puig still has plenty to be proud of, as he was so good this season, the Dodgers seem open to at least exploring the possibilities of trading Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, or Carl Crawford.  In other words, right field belongs to Puig and no one else.

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Greinke wins an award... for his hitting, of course

Zack Greinke finished the 2013 campaign with a 15-4 record, a 2.63 ERA, and a 1.11 WHIP.  Pretty darn good numbers.

What's even better?  His .328 average at the plate.  And for that, he's claimed his first ever Silver Slugger Award.

The award that honors the top hitter at each position was pretty much a no-brainer in the National League, as Greinke was clearly the top choice.  The next closest amongst pitchers with more than just a handful at-bats were Henderson Alvarez of the Marlins and Tyler Chatwood of the Rockies, who each hit .300.  But even they had between 20-30 less trips to the plate than Greinke.

In 58 at-bats this season, Greinke had 19 hits, including three doubles.  He also drove in four runs, walked seven times, and only struck out 10 times.  Heck, he even stole a couple bases just for good measure.  Not bad for a guy who entered the season with a .170 after playing nearly his whole career in the American League.

The Dodgers were shut out of any Gold Gloves despite having five candidates.  Just yesterday it was announced that Clayton Kershaw is a finalist for the Cy Young, along with Don Mattingly for Manager of the Year and Yasiel Puig for Rookie of the Year.  Look for at least Kershaw to join Greinke with some offseason hardware.