Friday, November 6, 2009

Will he stay or will he go?


That will be the question for Manny Ramirez until the November 10 deadline. And the longer he waits to decide, the more unpredictable this situation becomes.

Here's the decision Manny has to make. He can either opt to say with the Dodgers, exercising a $20 million option for 2010, the final year or his two-year deal. Or, he can simple opt-out and become a free agent.

The ball is totally in his court because it's a player option. Ned Colletti can only sit back and wait for the final word, because he has no say in the matter.

On the surface, it appears to be an easy decision. Manny can make a cool $20 million, which would seemingly be hard to find on the open market. Plus, factor in his age of 37 and his 50-game suspension for drug use during the season, and it looks like no team would be willing to top his current deal.

But here the catch: Scott Boras is his agent. And needless to say, kids, Boras doesn't mess around.

For those of you that need proof, look no further than the 2006 case of J.D. Drew. He was guaranteed $33 million for three years if he exercised his option, which seemed like a slam dunk. However, Boras convinced him to opt-out, thus becoming a free agent.

Just when most people thought he was crazy, Drew ended up signing with the Red Sox for five years and $70 million. Boras looked like a genius in the end.

Then again, Drew was much younger and with much less baggage at the time. But Manny can hit, and that may be all that matters.

The Dodgers have to be a bit torn on this situation. Manny took into spring training to sign, but still started the season hot. Then the suspension hit, and he was never the same. While the Dodgers achieved plenty of success, he failed to catch fire in the postseason like they wanted him to.

Admittedly, he has shaky knees, and would probably prefer to DH somewhere. Plus there's still the whole "Manny being Manny" issue, which never goes away.

The positives are that he's still a big bat in the middle of the order that the Dodgers need. He's still a box office attraction. And he's still capable of going off and having a monster season.

My guess is that he stays in Los Angeles for a couple of reasons. One is that he won't get a better deal elsewhere. The other is that I haven't heard a hint of another team being in hot pursuit.

Anything is possible with Manny and Boras. In a few days, we'll all see how this plays out.

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